Rallies in $Gold and $Silver are historic\n\n$IWM has a recood streak of outperformance vs the $SPX\n\nYet crypto is in a bearmarket? Something doesn\'t add up
If we focus on news narratives since the 2022 bottom, each notable fear-driven period marked a bottom. So focusing on Greenland or whatever, will only keep you in a state that prevents you from making rational decisions. Exactly what they\'re meant to do.\n\nTrying to be a genius and guess how the narrative resolves for the markets is a wrong tactic entirely.
Alts following the same playbook on LTF to late 2024/early 2025 period.\n\nSave this as we\'ve had numerous cases throughout the cycle. Be also weary of every pump that does not leave any supports below.
There are numerous different metrics I've shown that all say we should not just go down crashing into a prolonged bear market. Another one that says that is global Central Bank Balance Sheet. The dynamic is most similar with 2016/17 period where it too first retested the diagonal after the breakout. It rolling over was a lagging indication that in 2017 and 2021 the runs were already over. A very different situation here as we're only doing a retest after the long consolidation.
Do those believing in 4y cycles and diminishing returns also believe that, at some point, we start to deviate from it? Because if not, then $BTC chart would end up looking like this
This cycle BTC hasn't experienced volatility expansion like in prior cases, but those believing the cycle is done are targeting the same bear market outcome in terms of % and time I wouldn't say that's reasonable
There are interesting reactions on some coins here, like $ICP and $XVG, where they just slingshot to the upside and made a nice wick. Adding them to the watchlist