#预测市场 The story of prediction markets has taken an interesting turn again! Polymarket has adjusted its trading fee structure by introducing taker fees in the 15-minute crypto market. This may seem like a "break" from the promise of zero fees, but a closer look at the underlying logic reveals that it is actually about market evolution.



Imagine prediction markets as an exchange where liquidity is the lifeblood. The previous zero-fee model attracted many participants, but also led to a large number of high-frequency bots "spamming" the market. It's like a bustling marketplace filled with speculators, while genuine buyers and sellers feel uncomfortable. The recent adjustment aims to incentivize serious market makers by rewarding liquidity providers with daily USDC rebates, truly rewarding those who contribute deep liquidity.

What's more clever is that the fee design is quite interesting—fees are higher as the price approaches the 50% median, and decrease as it deviates further. This is essentially "punishing" obviously one-sided trades, encouraging a more balanced market structure, optimizing spreads, and making the entire ecosystem healthier.

This makes me more optimistic about the prediction market sector. It’s not just a tool for speculation but is gradually improving market mechanisms, making information discovery and resource allocation more efficient. The power of decentralization is here—through transparent rule adjustments, community participation, and continuous optimization. This is a microcosm of the iterative evolution of the Web3 ecosystem.
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