After years of trading, I am increasingly aware of a simple truth: don't go against the market. Those who insist on trading counter to the trend almost never make money in the end. In the face of market conditions, the market is always the winner.



Last week, I saw an example. A friend who has been trading for a long time saw the market going down but insisted on buying the dip against the trend. I sent three warnings in the group: "Don't buy the dip, don't add to your position, don't hold on stubbornly." But he didn't listen, and his account shrank by half. It was heartbreaking to see.

Many people think that judging the trend is very complicated and try to apply all kinds of mystical indicators. But in fact, market signals are very clear; it all depends on whether you're willing to believe them.

When the moving average system diverges upward and volume increases simultaneously, it's not a secret—it's the market clearly telling you to go long. Conversely, when the moving averages collectively move downward with increasing volume, it's a straightforward warning signal. The day before yesterday afternoon, I used this logic to set up a short position on Ethereum and ultimately secured a 15% profit from the decline. No black magic, just the market's open signals.

**The trend is your friend; don't treat it as your enemy**

The essence of trend trading is simple: identify the main direction of the market and follow it. An uptrend means higher highs and higher lows, like climbing stairs; a downtrend means lower highs and lower lows, like going downstairs.

This basic logic is often overlooked by many. They always want to prove they are smarter than the market. Ironically, the more someone tries to prove their intelligence, the faster they lose money. Those who humbly follow the trend tend to profit steadily. The market prefers humble traders and dislikes those who think they are clever.
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SchrodingersPapervip
· 12h ago
That's right, I'm just worried that even if I know, I still can't do it...
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StrawberryIcevip
· 12h ago
It's the same old story again. Reverse operations really do make money. I've seen too many cases like this. It's a pity for the friend as well, who bought the dip to the point of risking his life. Honestly, it's about following the trend. Don't make it so complicated. If you don't understand, just follow along, really. The moving average actually makes things clear, but some people insist on being stubborn. The market teaches the harshest lesson in this: the more you try to surpass it, the more it will teach you a lesson. Just follow the trend. Why fight the market?
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LiquidationKingvip
· 12h ago
Really, I've seen too many people bottom-fishing until they go bankrupt. It's better to just follow the trend steadily. --- When the moving average is downward, just go down. Those who insist on fighting the rebound are basically all leeks. --- Your friend's example was perfect. Only after losing half of their assets did they listen to advice. The market teaches expensive lessons. --- Basically, it's because they don't trust the market. They always think they can catch the bottom themselves. It's hilarious. --- The hardest part of following the trend isn't the technical aspect, but psychological resilience, truly. --- I believe in the 15% ETH return, but those in the group who say they often operate like that... uh. --- Why do some people always think that trading against the trend shows they are smart? They're just overconfident. --- Market signals are indeed clear, but the key is that people get weak and hesitant when it comes to execution. --- The moving average system has been outdated for a long time, but only a few actually use it correctly. --- I've seen too many self-proclaimed "experts" who ultimately just become liquidity providers, haha.
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GasFeeNightmarevip
· 12h ago
Late at night, I saw another story of buying the dip against the trend... When my account shrank by half, I remembered my past foolishness, but back then, gas still cost $5 per transaction, and I lost even more thoroughly.
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SolidityStrugglervip
· 12h ago
That's right, but all those who stubbornly copy against the trend end up becoming the bagholders. My friend is the same, insisting on going against the market, and as a result, his account shrank terribly. The moving averages are right there, and volume doesn't lie. Why bother with fancy tricks or trying to find some mystical indicator? I'm truly speechless. Following the trend is the right way; don't always think you can turn the tables. The market simply doesn't give that opportunity.
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JustHereForMemesvip
· 12h ago
Basically, don't be reckless, right? Those who make money in the market are always the ones following the trend. --- That guy who bought the dip is really ruthless, insisting on fighting the market. Now his account is directly halved. --- The combination of moving averages + volume increase is actually basic operation, nothing mysterious about it. It all depends on whether you believe in the market. --- I'm just surprised why so many people insist on being the leek (retail investors), even when the trend is obvious, why do they still operate counter to it? --- A few days ago, I also took a short ETH position with this mindset, feeling very comfortable. Just don't think you can predict the market, this thing. --- I really dislike those who fail at bottom fishing and still insist on holding on. They lose not just money but also their brains. --- I've heard a hundred times that the market always wins, but no one really believes it. --- Climbing stairs and going down stairs—this analogy is simple and straightforward, much better than those complicated indicators. --- Your friend's example is quite typical; losing half of your capital is the price of being overconfident. --- Yes, just follow the trend. Don't always try to prove you're the chosen one. The market won't soften just because you're smart.
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