Recently, an interesting phenomenon has attracted market attention: the response speed of prediction markets to policy changes often exceeds that of most people's judgments.

After Trump's latest statement, many traders realized that the odds of the popular Federal Reserve Chair candidate, Hasset, had already dropped significantly. But more astute market participants had long sensed this shift through the price signals of prediction markets—this shows that the market pricing mechanism's ability to digest policy expectations should not be underestimated.

What does this reflect? First, the crypto market's sensitivity to the Federal Reserve's policy direction is increasing. The choice of the Fed Chair directly relates to the future monetary policy trajectory, and these policy changes will profoundly impact liquidity and asset valuations. Second, prediction markets, as an information aggregation tool, gather expectations from numerous participants and often reflect the true market consensus faster than traditional public opinion.

For traders focused on macro trends, this case also offers insight: when policy changes occur, it's not just about surface information; more importantly, observe what the market itself is saying—the price data and signals from prediction markets are often the most honest indicators.